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CANNES – The previous decade has been an Oscar increase for Cannes. The French establishment has premiered a Best Picture winner in “Parasite” and landed 9 nominees over that span together with three alone this previous January with “Elvis,” “Top Gun: Maverick” and Palme d’Or winner “Triangle of Sadness.” We’re unsure competition director Thierry Fremeux will land one other Best Picture winner in 2024, however at the least two Best Picture nominations appear very doubtless.
READ MORE: “Anatomy of a Fall” wins the Palme d’Or on the 2023 Cannes Film Festival
Let’s begin with Justine Triet’s “Anatomy of a Fall” which took this 12 months’s Palme and was acquired by NEON following its competition debut. Full disclosure, that is the one main competitors movie we missed as a result of scheduling, however a competiting awards govt sung its praises to The Playlist with out committing to a Best Picture nom (but). If any studio can pull that off, nonetheless, it’s NEON. The unbiased distributor beforehand guided “Parasite,” “Drive My Car” and “Triangle of Sadness” (all Palme winners) to Best Picture nominations. They had much less success with 2021’s “Titane” however “Anatomy” is thought to be a much wider proposition. Triet will little question profit from a powerful Best Director marketing campaign and star Sandra Hüller will combat for a Best Actress nomination in what, as you’ll quickly uncover, shall be a really crowded area.
Before the competition started, Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon,” which debuted out of competitors, was seen as essentially the most awards-friendly play on la Croisette. With rave evaluations (it at present has a better metacritic rating than “Anatomy”) it looks as if the best lock for a Best Picture nom out of this 12 months’s anticipated contenders. It’s additionally a extra creatively daring endeavor for Scrosese than his final nominee, “The Irishman,” and if that drama may land 10 nominations, nobody ought to doubt that “Flower” received’t duplicate or surpass that tally. Leonardo DiCaprio is a frontrunner for a Best Actor nomination (he’s additionally producer on the challenge) whereas Robert De Niro is within the combine for Best Supporting Actor. Lily Gladstone completely has a shot for a Best Actress nom, however contemplating the sector we’d counsel some warning, particularly with the social media champions who haven’t even seen the film. Again, it is a powerful Best Actress race that can discover a handful of very annoyed contenders after the nominations are revealed. Additionally, Legendary editor Thelma Schoonmaker, cinematographer Rodrigo Prieto and manufacturing designer Jack Fisk all appear doubtless for noms at this level within the season.
In a shock, Netflix secured the rights to Todd Haynes‘ well received “May December.” It may not be a Best Picture player at this point (book those Gotham and Spirit Awards tables though), but stars Natalie Portman and Julianne Moore are absolutely contenders in the Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress fields, respectively (this is assuming Moore goes Supporting, which she should). And don’t sleep on Sammy Burch‘s Black List chosen screenplay both (Alex Mechanik has story by credit score). If a possible SAG strike is a brief one and Portman and Moore can hit the path, this very American-centric story may shock.
The movie that was greatest reviewed out of the competition and landed the second place Grand Prix honor, was Jonathan Glazer’s “The Zone of Interest.” Distributor A24 needs to be disillusioned it didn’t take the Palme as that win can be the kind of calling card this masterpiece of a film may use to enter the season (and entice AMPAS members to see it in a theater). The mini-major will little question display thell out of “Zone,” however any marketing campaign goes require Glazer to work the circuit (questionable) and it options just a little recognized lead in Christian Friedel and a second within the aforementioned Hüller whose priorities could also be elsewhere (it’s clearly her 12 months). That being mentioned, the movie is unbelievable, shall be a staple of critics’ high ten lists (it may simply win LAFCA and/or NYFCC) and, oh yeah, it’s one of many extra unconventional however stirring reminders of the Holocaust in a long time. How A24 juggles the awards focus “Zone” will want alongside the already beloved Sundance and Berlin participant “Past Lives” and a 3rd potential Best Picture nominee in Sean Durkin’s “The Iron Claw” is a serious query mark. Such troubles, eh?
Focus Features could or could not have one thing with Wes Anderson’s “Asteroid City.” The evaluations are on par together with his final effort, “The French Dispatch,” which was shockingly ignored from even essentially the most clearly deserving below-the-line classes in 2022. If “Asteroid” can shock on the field workplace (“Dispatch nonetheless did a unbelievable $46 million international as theaters had been barely out of the pandemic and COVID strains had been nonetheless rampant), then AMPAS members could take it extra severely for classes corresponding to Original Screenplay, Production Design and Cinematography.
READ MORE: Bryan Cranston on Wes Anderson, “Asteroid City” and, oh yeah, Cannes [Interview]
In the Animated Feature race, two potential nominees debuted on la Croissette. The Peter Sohn directed Pixar entry “Elemantal” closed the competition and earned very blended evaluations from the critics remaining in France (a much bigger heads up ought to have been Disney not screening it earlier than hand). Still, we’d by no means rely out the Disney division with regards to touchdown one of many 5 noms on this class. More intriguing is Pablo Berger‘s emotional and creative “Robot Dreams,” another NEON acquisition out of the fest. With “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” looking like the only lock for a nod (we’re cautious that AMPAS members won’t vote for “Super Mario Bros”), the just about utterly dialogue-less “Dreams” has a superb shot to make the minimize.
If Sundance dominates the Best Documentary area, than Cannes often guidelines the International Film class (or at the least the shortlist). In truth, Cannes world premieres have received this class six out of the final 9 eligible years and 6 of the final 10 (don’t neglect, Cannes was the one main competition that utterly canceled in 2020). Did one other winner premiere over the fortnight this 12 months? There actually wasn’t a slam dunk within the “Parasite,” “Drive My Car” or “Son of Saul” vein, however the area is actually value watching.
Alice Rohrwacher‘s enchanting “La Chimera” has a shot at representing Italy (as does Marco Bellocchio’s extra typical “Kidnapped”). Japan will doubtless choose Hirokazu Kore-eda‘s shock screenplay winner “Monster” though Wim Wenders‘ Tokyo-set “Perfect Days” is a film International Film voters would adore. Will Germany choose it despite the fact that its solely connection is Wenders? Stranger issues have occurred.
Tran Anh Hung’s “The Pot-au-Feu” (which received the Directing prize) might be the frontrunner for France (Jonathan Ricquebourg also needs to land some Cinematography consideration) whereas Aki Kaurismäki’s “Fallen Leaves” (which took the Jury prize) is a straightforward choice for Finland. In concept, Turkey will select Nuri Bilge Ceylan‘s acclaimed “About Dry Grasses” (its star, Merve Dizdar, won the Best Actress honor) and Tunisia will no doubt pick Kaouther Ben Hania’s “Four Daughters” after the director’s “The Man Who Sold His Skin” turned the nation’s solely nominee to date in 2021.
Among the Un Certain Regard slate, Rodrigo Moreno’s “The Delinquents” has a superb shot at representing Argentina whereas Mohamed Kordofani’s “Goodbye Julia,” (which took the Freedom prize) could possibly be simply the second submission ever for Sudan. Kamal Lazraq’s “Hounds” (which received the UCR Jury prize) is a possible choose for Morocco. Joao Salaviza and Renée Nader Messora’s “The Buriti Flower” (honor for its ensemble) is probably going within the combine for Brazil.
Pham Thien An‘s Director’s Fortnight choice “Inside the Yellow Cocoon Shell” (which took the Camera d’Or) is a certain guess for Vietnam.
Among movies that disillusioned, Karim Aïnouz’s “Firebrand” nonetheless hasn’t been acquired at publication and star Alicia Vikander is, at greatest, taking a look at Golden Globe love. Jude Law obtained reward for his transformation (with no fats swimsuit) into the infamous Henry VIII, however any awards love is a longshot at this level.
Oh, and don’t out “Perfect Days” star Kōji Yakusho, who took the Best Actor prize, within the Best Actor race. Yet one other awards participant for NEON this season.
Oscar season will proceed to make waves this summer season with Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” and, sure, Greta Gerwig’s “Barbie” on the instant horizon. Awards season will actually kick off with the Venice, Telluride and TIFF triumvirate which can is simply three months away. Prepare yourselves.
Follow together with all our protection from the 2023 Cannes Film Festival
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