The stage is about. All the media availabilities, hawking merchandise by gamers and former gamers, all of the Pro Bowl Games and all the evaluation has led us to Super Bowl LVII and the conclusion of the 2022 NFL season.
Having the highest seed from each conferences sq. off within the greatest sport of the season ought to give followers the absolute best contest. The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles have rosters filled with gifted gamers, large names and each produce thrilling manufacturers of soccer.
The query everybody needs to know, from followers of the 2 groups, these betting on the sport and the informal fan alike, is who will win.
As we have now been doing the previous few rounds, we flip to analytics to attempt to discover the reply. The knowledge collected by DVOA was 6-0 within the wild-card spherical, 3-1 within the divisional spherical and 1-1 within the convention championships.
As we noticed with the San Francisco 49ers, analytics can’t predict vital accidents. While the Niners had been DVOA favorites to win the sport, shedding the flexibility to throw the soccer assured the crew’s loss.
In reality, DVOA isn’t excellent nor would it not declare to foretell the winners of sure video games. Too many variables that can not be codified, like climate, accidents, officiating and extra, can play a task in a one-game pattern.
Despite that, DVOA is 10-2 in predicting the outcomes of video games this postseason. With followers and bettors in search of no matter knowledge they’ll discover, this analytics instrument is a good piece of knowledge to have.
What does DVOA inform us about this weekend’s sport?
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles
- Overall DVOA: Philadelphia third vs Kansas City 4th
- Offensive DVOA: Kansas City 1st vs Philadelphia third
- Defensive DVOA: Philadelphia sixth vs Kansas City seventeenth
- Special Teams DVOA: Philadelphia thirteenth vs Kansas City nineteenth
In simply the playoffs, with solely two video games between them, the Eagles had been the very best total crew with 72.6% complete DVOA whereas the Chiefs had been third at 39.8%.
Whether it was throughout the common season or playoffs, the largest distinction comes on the defensive aspect of the ball the place Kansas City was worse than the common NFL crew whereas Philadelphia was simply 0.4% away from being a top-five crew.
The particular person hole between Patrick Mahomes (26.5%) and Jalen Hurts (10.6%) explains a lot of the distinction between the 2 groups on the offensive aspect of the ball. Earlier this week, we checked out how Mahomes and Hurts graded out this season per Pro Football Focus and located some attention-grabbing knowledge as nicely.
When trying on the analytics, it’s clear that the final narrative in regards to the groups can also be backed up by the information. The Chiefs are seen as an excellent offense and mediocre protection whereas the Eagles are seen as an excellent offense and an excellent protection.
The precise DVOA knowledge exhibits simply how shut the 2 groups are total. Philadelphia checks in at 25.2% total whereas Kansas City is simply behind at 23.0%.
Sunday, we discover out if being nice in a single space, particularly on offense, is nice sufficient to beat a extra balanced crew that is excellent on either side of the ball.
What is actually a coin-flip sport, with the Eagles presently a 1.5-point favourite, might come all the way down to an harm, a fluke play, a nasty name or, because it did just a few years in the past, an influence outage. There isn’t any knowledge that may predict these issues however utilizing the knowledge out there to us by DVOA, analytics say Philadelphia will win a detailed sport.