I’ll be upset if there are not any upsets throughout Wild Card Weekend, which kicks off right this moment. That upset might not occur within the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers recreation, and maybe not with the Los Angeles Chargers-Jacksonville Jaguars. But bettors appear satisfied that the largest upset of the week will come from Brian Daboll, Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, and firm.
What are the chances?
According to OddsChecker US, 83.3 % of all bets on the Giants-Vikings moneyline have been positioned on Big Blue. 83.3 %! That sounds absurd, however it is probably not as insane because it appears. For one, the 6-3 matchup has traditionally been fairly balanced. Since 2002, six seeds are 22-18 throughout Wild Card Weekend. Keep in thoughts, these are all street video games. Not solely are the three seeds speculated to be higher groups, however in addition they have home-field benefit, and but, most of the time, the six seeds handle to stroll away victorious.
Do you actually belief the Vikings?
Second, the Vikings have been thought-about frauds for weeks at this level. Every Vikings fan has already heard the purpose differential arguments. They’re the one workforce in NFL historical past with 13 or extra wins and a unfavourable level differential. Hell, they’re the one workforce with 12 or extra wins to complete with a unfavourable level differential. They’ve been embarrassed on the nationwide stage on a number of events. That mentioned, when video games are shut, the Vikings are likely to do very effectively.
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Keeping it close
Somehow, the Vikings are an incredible 11-0 in one-score games. They can’t be stopped when the going gets tough. You’ll remember one of those 11 wins was on a 61-yard field goal to beat the Giants in Week 16. However, the Giants are actually well-rested. They sat their total beginning lineup with a view to put together for this recreation. The Vikings did to an extent as effectively, with Kirk Cousins solely enjoying 54 % of offensive snaps, Justin Jefferson enjoying solely 51 %, and star left deal with Christian Darrisaw enjoying solely 54. Still, that’s not a full week off. They have been attempting to win. They spent very important time making ready for the Chicago Bears that week. Given the Giants’ plan of motion in Week 18, I wouldn’t be shocked in the event that they’ve been making ready for the Vikings for 2 weeks now. They’re going to return into this recreation with a plan so fleshed out, Batman might’ve written it.
History on their aspect?
Minnesota does have expertise on its aspect although. In 2021, there have been 5 quarterbacks making their first playoff look. They went 1-4 in these video games. Daniel Jones will probably be making his first postseason look tomorrow. This will probably be Cousins’ fourth look (third as a starter), and his final look noticed his first postseason win. He’s bought that metaphorical chip off his shoulder and it’s now not weighing him down.
Have a ‘dog in the fight
The Vikings are coming into this game as three-point favorites. Throughout the season, we’ve seen that bettors like to wager underdogs greater than favorites within the hopes of a large payday. However, if that have been the case, bettors wouldn’t be flocking to the Giants, however the Dolphins (+13.5) and Seahawks (+9.5) as a substitute. The proven fact that bettors are going to the three-point underdog Giants reveals that they honestly imagine the workforce will come away victorious. While I’m frightened that the Giants solely gained two of their remaining eight video games, a betting benefit this outrageous doesn’t simply formulate out of skinny air. You must observe the cash, and that makes the Giants’ probabilities of successful all the higher in my thoughts.