Analysis: excessive rates of interest, restricted credit score and authorities noise point out weaker Brazilian GDP in 2023

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By Vandré Kramer

High rates of interest. Tighter credit score, with corporations like Americanas in disaster and elevated defaults. Government noise, pressuring inflation expectations and rates of interest. End of post-Covid financial momentum.

The mixture of those elements contributes to an more and more evident slowdown in financial exercise. One of the alerts was the 0.2% shrinkage of GDP within the fourth quarter.

The image, nonetheless, isn’t homogeneous.

The countryside’s expectations are favorable, given the situation of a brilliant crop of grain. In companies, the expansion price remains to be sturdy, however the tempo of enlargement has been shedding energy.

In commerce . . .

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