Variety Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages mirror the present standings within the race and don’t mirror private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls recommend, competitions are fluid and topic to vary primarily based on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies by way of the hyperlinks under:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Actor
Maestro
Netflix
Weekly Commentary (Updated Jan. 8, 2024): Alexander Payne’s “The Holdovers” has been surging for weeks, which absolutely helped Paul Giamatti cross the end line on the Golden Globes. An Oscar nominee for “Cinderella Man” (2005), Giamatti is a kind of actors that individuals are rooting for to have his second. And his acceptance speech, the place he paid tribute to lecturers, was self-effacing and expertly delivered.
Still, Giamatti faces stiff competitors. Cillian Murphy gained one of the best actor in a drama for his haunting work as J. Robert Oppenheimer and will repeat on the Oscars if “Oppenheimer” sweeps the most important classes. Noteworthy statistic: the final time one of the best image and actor matched on the Academy Awards was Jean Dujardin for “The Artist” (2011).
We additionally nonetheless shouldn’t depend out Bradley Cooper, whose transformation into Leonard Bernstein in “Maestro” is a marvel, or Jeffrey Wright, the well-respected character actor who lastly will get a number one position worthy of his skills in “American Fiction.”
And then there’s Leonardo DiCaprio (“Killers of the Flower Moon”), Colman Domingo (“Rustin”) and Andrew Scott (“All of Us Strangers”). In addition to attainable SAG surprises resembling Zac Efron (“The Iron Claw”) and Adam Driver (“Ferrari”).
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the most recent Oscars predictions in all classes.
The submission deadline for common classes is Nov. 15, 2023. The preliminary shortlist for eight classes is from Dec. 14-18, with the outcomes announcement dropping on Dec. 21. The Oscar nomination interval will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominees named on Jan. 23.
***The record under just isn’t ultimate and shall be up to date all through the awards season.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- Leonardo DiCaprio — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
- Andrew Scott — “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Barry Keoghan — “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Zac Efron — “The Iron Claw” (A24)
- Matt Damon — “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- Adam Driver — “Ferrari” (Neon)
- Christian Friedel — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
- Franz Rogowski — “Passages” (Mubi)
- Joaquin Phoenix — “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
- Tee Yoo — “Past Lives” (A24)
- Anthony Hopkins — “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Joaquin Phoenix — “Beau is Afraid” (A24)
- Nicolas Cage — “Dream Scenario” (A24)
- Timothée Chalamet — “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
- Michael Fassbender — “The Killer” (Netflix)
Also In Contention
- Eugenio Derbez — “Radical” (Miercoles Entertainment)
- Kôji Yakusho — “Perfect Days” (Neon)
- Jay Baruchel — “BlackBerry” (IFC Films)
- Mads Mikkelsen — “The Promised Land” (Magnolia Pictures)
- Gael García Bernal — “Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Jamie Foxx — “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Alden Ehrenreich — “Fair Play” (Netflix)
- Benoît Magimel — “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio)
- Peter Dinklage — “She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment)
- Jesse Garcia — “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)
Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**
- John David Washington — “The Creator” (twentieth Century Studios)
- Kenneth Branagh — “A Haunting in Venice” (twentieth Century Studios)
- Joaquin Phoenix — “Beau is Afraid” (A24)
- Nicolas Cage — “Dream Scenario” (A24)
- Zac Efron — “The Iron Claw” (A24)
- Tee Yoo — “Past Lives” (A24)
- Jesse Eisenberg — “When You Finish Saving the World” (A24)
- Christian Friedel — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
- Matt Damon — “Air” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Jamie Foxx — “The Burial” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Gael García Bernal — “Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Paul Mescal — “Foe” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Morgan Freeman — “A Good Person” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Jake Gyllenhaal — “Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Asante Blackk — “Landscape with Invisible Hand” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Barry Keoghan — “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Orén Kinlan — “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films)
- Leonardo DiCaprio — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
- Joaquin Phoenix — “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures)
- Taron Egerton — “Tetris” (Apple Original Films)
- Liev Schreiber — “Across the River and Into the Trees” (Bleecker Street)
- Paul Giamatti — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
- Jay Baruchel — “BlackBerry” (IFC Films)
- Benoît Magimel — “The Taste of Things” (IFC Films/Sapan Studio)
- Jesse Garcia — “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)
- Asante Blackk — “Story Ave” (Kino Lorber)
- Keanu Reeves — “John Wick Chapter 4” (Lionsgate)
- Joel Edgerton — “Master Gardener” (Magnolia Pictures)
- Mads Mikkelsen — “The Promised Land” (Magnolia Pictures)
- Paul Rudd — “Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quanumania” (Marvel Studios)
- Chris Pratt — “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios)
- Jeffrey Wright — “American Fiction” (MGM)
- Joel Edgerton — “The Boys in the Boat” (MGM)
- Callum Turner — “The Boys in the Boat” (MGM)
- Michael B. Jordan — “Creed III” (MGM)
- Michael Peña — “A Million Miles Away” (MGM)
- Eugenio Derbez — “Radical” (Miercoles Entertainment)
- Franz Rogowski — “Passages” (Mubi)
- Jaime Vadell — “El Conde” (Netflix)
- Alden Ehrenreich — “Fair Play” (Netflix)
- Josh O’Connor — “La Chimera” (Neon)
- Kôji Yakusho — “Perfect Days” (Neon)
- Michael Fassbender — “The Killer” (Netflix)
- Mahershala Ali — “Leave the World Behind” (Netflix)
- Bradley Cooper — “Maestro” (Netflix)
- Colman Domingo — “Rustin” (Netflix)
- Rafael Federman — “Society of the Snow” (Netflix)
- Chris Pine — “Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves” (Paramount Pictures)
- Tom Cruise — “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One” (Paramount Pictures)
- Nicolas Cage — “Butcher’s Crossing” (Saban Films)
- Andrew Scott — “All of Us Strangers” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Kelvin Harrison Jr. — “Chevalier” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Michael Fassbender — “Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Paul Dano — “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures)
- Denzel Washington — “The Equalizer 3” (Sony Pictures)
- Shameik Moore — “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures)
- Anthony Hopkins — “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Adam Driver — “Ferrari” (Neon)
- Cillian Murphy — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
- Peter Dinklage — “She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment)
- Jason Mamoa — “Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom” (Warner Bros.)
- Xolo Maridueña — “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.)
- Timothée Chalamet — “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
- Harrison Ford — “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Warner Bros.)
- Jonah Hauer-King — “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures)
2022 class winner: Brendan Fraser, “The Whale” (A24)
** signifies an unconfirmed launch date in 2023 or may marketing campaign within the lead or supporting classes. All launch dates are topic to vary.
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About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, higher often called the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious inventive award within the movie business. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been chosen by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented inside the almost 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting administrators, cinematographers, costume designers, administrators, documentary, executives, movie editors, make-up and hairstylists, advertising and marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, manufacturing design, brief movies and have animation, sound, visible results and writers.